2044 United States presidential election



The 2044 United States presidential election was the 65th quadrennial United States presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2044. The incumbent Democratic ticket of president Stacey Abrams and vice president Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez were easily re-elected to a second term against the Republican ticket of U.S. Senator from Ohio Bob Young and Governor of Wisconsin Ron Tusler. In the popular vote, the incumbent ticket won by a margin of about 9.5%, a significant decrease from 2040; however, excluding that election, this was still the strongest performance for a Democratic presidential candidate since 2028.

Background
The Abrams-Cortez ticket was easily elected in the 2040 presidential election, defeating incumbent president Gary Braun due to the Gary Braun pharmaceutical bribes scandal. Abrams started her first term with an extremely high approval rating, averaging over 65% in most polls, but it quickly dropped to around a steady 55% by the sixth month of her presidency. While her approval rating fluctuated somewhat afterwards, it remained above 50% in most polls until the 2044 election.

The Republican candidate Bob Young won the party's nomination in a very competitive primary, which he only narrowly won against fellow U.S. Senator and more conservative candidate Kathryn Spinelli. Although Young ran as a moderate on healthcare issues and disavowed Braun, the recent memory of the pharmaceutical bribes scandal was attributed to his poor performance in this election.

Close states
Margin of victory less than 1% (18 electoral votes):
 * 1) Pennsylvania, 0.31%

Margin of victory between 1% and 5% (88 electoral votes):
 * 1) Wisconsin, 2.38%
 * 2) Michigan, 2.40%
 * 3) Maine's 2nd congressional district, 2.41% (RCV)
 * 4) North Carolina, 3.77%
 * 5) New Hampshire, 4.26% (RCV)
 * 6) Texas, 4.52%

Margin of victory between 5% and 10% (115 electoral votes):
 * 1) Alaska, 5.03% (RCV)
 * 2) Arizona, 5.04%
 * 3) South Carolina, 5.76%
 * 4) Florida, 6.80% (Tipping-point state)
 * 5) Minnesota, 7.21%
 * 6) Nevada, 7.86%
 * 7) Ohio, 8.04%
 * 8) Georgia, 8.75%
 * 9) Iowa, 9.56%